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May 5 election: London districts to observe

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May 5th the election will be important not only for the future of London, but also for the careers of Boris Johnson and Keira Starmer. A bad night for the Conservatives could deprive them of their former true blue seats, such as Wandsworth and Barnett, which would only increase the pressure on the Prime Minister. For Starmer, the test will be whether Labor will be able to translate the results of their national polls into tangible benefits.

Recent polls show that for conservatives it is bleak. A recent YouGov poll put Labor at 27 points in London, while Opinium predicts they will lose about 70 seats in London. With that in mind, which London areas are preparing for this week?

Barnet

Barnet has long been a target area for Labor, and the upcoming election gives them a real chance to finally gain control of the area. Many of the target chambers that Labor should get have only a few hundred votes, and the Barnet Conservatives will not feel too confident holding on to them.

Of all the Labor goals, this is considered the best chance to take control of the Council in May. Labor is aware of this and has made clear its intentions here by launching a local election campaign in the area in London.

It will also show how influential Cyrus Starmer’s message to anti-Semitism was. Barnett has a relatively high Jewish population, and this problem has become a huge factor in the poor performance of Labor in 2018. If they can regain that support and take advantage of the situation with the national poll, it looks like Barnett will turn red for the first time in history.

Wandsworth

Wandsworth, seen as the Conservatives ’flagship council, will turn red for the Conservatives. Wandsworth was a favorite of former Prime Minister Margaret Thatcher’s advice, and he was one of the first to adopt her mantra of working on a platform to offer better services at lower prices. The Wandsworth Conservatives continue to base their campaign on this, but Labor has tried to nullify this position by pledging to reduce the Council’s tax by 1 per cent if elected.

The Wandsworth Conservatives have fought against the backdrop of the parties, and they are trying to distance themselves from this, coming to the point of labeling themselves in the ballots as “local conservatives”. When neighboring Labor encouraged their campaigners to help in Wandsworth, the Conservatives reportedly recruited volunteers from other areas to fight tooth and nail to abstain.

Labor has repeatedly pushed here in the last election and will hope that this time they will finally get enough support to get advice. Current polls suggest they may just squeeze the border, but it’s hard to name the area anyway.

Westminster

Labor is confident of major success in Westminster this year, and although they are taking the Council directly, they are very optimistic, they could significantly absorb the Conservative majority. However, given that the district was controlled only by the Conservatives and boasts the lowest municipal tax in the UK; on paper it may seem like a Tory victory in slam dunks?

However, as well as national concerns affecting conservatives across London, local scandals have forced Westminster Conservatives to feel the heat. The infamous Marble Arch Mound, which was finally closed in January and led to the resignation of Deputy Leader Melvin Kaplan, is actively involved in opposition campaigns.

Labor is also pressuring the Conservatives to donate the nearly £ 120,000 they received from Russian donors to ties to Putin, a Ukrainian charity. Given that the Tories have to fight on many fronts, it’s easy to see why Labor is optimistic, but in 2022, it’s probably too early for Labor to gain overall control of the district.

Croydon

Unlike other areas mentioned in this list, Croydon sees the wounded Labor party defending itself against a resurgent and optimistic attack by conservatives. The background for this is the major financial crisis that led to the Croydon Council declaring bankruptcy in 2018.

Labor tried to distance itself from the former Labor leadership of the Council, Tony Newman and Simon Hall, but in practice it proved more difficult. Not surprisingly, financial mismanagement plays a central role in Conservative campaigns. As in Wandsworth, Croydon Conservatives label themselves on the ballots as “local conservatives,” trying to keep the election in focus on Croydon-based issues.

Apart from the struggle for a majority in the Rada, this is also the first election in which Croydon residents will vote for the mayor elected directly. The two leading candidates are Labor MP Shawcross and Jason Perry of the Conservatives, but Andrew Pelling can decide. Peeling is a former conservative, a Labor MP, an independent politician who is expected to take a comfortable third place.

Peling is expected to take away votes from both sides, and both sides are worried that his participation in the election will lead to the role of king. Polls suggest Labor is likely to retain power in Croydon, but they are certainly nervous about this South London area.

Hamlet Towers

Unlike all previous examples, Tower Hamlets is not a Labor struggle against the Conservatives, but a battle involving Labor and a party called Aspire. Aspire is headed by Lutfur Rahman, the former mayor of Tower Hamlets in 2010-2015, who was removed from office for five years when he was found guilty of corruption and illegal prices.

Rahman and his party are attacking Labor from the left, seeking greater investment in utilities, affordable housing and a tax freeze, among others. Tower Hamlets laborers are concerned about the threat posed by Aspire and are serious about the issue.

Labor is campaigning vigorously in the area, and incumbent Labor Mayor John Biggs will hope to be able to restrain Rahman’s efforts. Polls suggest Labor will retain control of the council, but the outcome of the mayoral election is much less certain.

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